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Today's Forex outlook for GBP/USD, EUR/USD & GBP/EUR


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GBP/USD could not match the previous lows of 1.5325, holding just above at 1.5337. Failure to break lower did push the market higher, and once more we are back above 1.5400. The pattern evident on the 60min charts is quite a bullish one for the short term players, and if we can maintain above 1.5400 early in the session then we can trade higher with 1.5580 to 1.5620 the targeted area.

Buyers would be advised to cover all longs to here as it is unlikely that we can break this resistance today.

Failure to hold over 1.5400 puts a more weaker tone on the market and should allow sellers to use this failure to drive us lower with 1.5335/25 once more in their sights. Sellers are expected to cover shorts to here. Only a loss of 1.5320 would tempt sellers back into the market, and they would then be looking for 1.5255.

Eur/Usd came higher yesterday, reaching 1.2855. we have eased back overnight and retraced 38% of the move higher back to 1.2780. If we can stay trading above this support this morning we should be able to continue higher with 1.2850/60 once more targeted. Buyers are advised to cover ahead of this resistance. Sellers are expected here, and this should prove to be quite a difficult barrier to break. However if we do break 1,2860 buyers would be back into the market once more and we could trade higher then to 1.2920.

If 1.2780 is lost it would bolster the sellers confidence a bit and they would be willing to come back onto the market and take us lower for 1.2710/1.2690. They would cover shorts to here as buyers would be expected. However if we lose 1.2690 expect buyers to jump from longs and join sellers taking this lower for 1.2626/24 once more.

Eur/Gbp Kept the pressure to the topside and hit 8327. We did not ease back from here that much and again this morning we are heading higher once more. Resistance remains at 8325/27, and if we can break above this resistance today then we can go higher with 8375/80 seen as your short term objective.

Failure to break the 8325/27 resistance leaves the downside once more exposed and declines through to 8266/55 should occur quite quickly. If below 8246 further weakness would then be evident with 8211 targeted.



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About the author


Carol Harmer has over 30 years experience of analysing and trading the world’s markets and is undoubtedly one of the most respected technical analysts in the world today. 

Her career started in the early eighties, trading futures on the floor at LIFFE where she quickly discovered Technical Analysis as a way to maximise profits. She was one of the first traders on LIFFE to discover and study this form of analysis and quickly became widely recognised as an expert in its use as well as highly profitable. 

This soon led to a position as Senior Technical Analyst for Midland Bank. 

She was later head hunted for the role of Manager of Technical Analysis for Nomura Bank and then as Head of Technical Trading at Credit Suisse. Carol is also one of the first T/A's from a bank to join the  STA (The Society of Technical Analysts) in the mid 80's and has trained and worked with some of the UK’s leading technical analysts.

In 1996 Carol launched 'Charmer Charts' to train independent traders in technical analysis and became the first person to provide daily forecasts for the established traders on the LIFFE floor.

She returned to the floor, trading her own account, advising traders throughout the day and continued her appearances on Bloomberg, CNBC and Reuters financial TV where she provided her valued, expert opinion on the direction of financial markets.

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