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Metals Commentary


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December gold futures closed up $5.00 at $1,253.10 yesterday. Prices closed nearer the session high and closed at a fresh nine-week high close yesterday. A weaker U.S. dollar and some more safe-haven buying boosted the gold market yesterday. Bulls still have upside technical momentum, have the solid technical advantage and are poised to challenge the all-time high of $1,270.60, scored in June. Prices are in a five-week-old uptrend on the daily bar chart. Bulls' next near-term upside technical objective is to produce a close above solid chart resistance at the all-time high of $1,270.60. Bears' next near-term downside price objective is closing prices below solid technical support at this week's low of $1,233.50. First resistance is seen at this week's high of $1,256.60 and then at $1,259.00. Support is seen at $1,250.00 and then at yesterday's low of $1,245.30.

Wyckoff's Market Rating: 7.5.

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December silver futures closed up 25.2 cents at $19.645 an ounce yesterday. Prices closed nearer the session high and hit a fresh 3.5-month high early on.  The key "outside markets" were in a bullish posture for silver again yesterday, as the U.S. dollar index was weaker, while crude oil and U.S. stock index prices were firmer. Silver bulls have the solid near-term technical advantage. The next downside price objective for the bears is closing prices below solid technical support at this week's low of $18.86. Bulls' next upside price objective is closing prices above solid technical resistance at the May high of $19.915 an ounce. First resistance is seen at yesterday's high of $19.715 and then at $19.915. Next support is seen at $19.50 and then at yesterday's low of $19.345.

Wyckoff's Market Rating: 8.0.

December N.Y. copper closed up 105 points at 348.80 cents yesterday. Prices closed near mid-range yesterday and hit another fresh four-month high. The bulls have the near-term technical advantage and have upside near-term technical momentum to suggest more gains are in the offing in the near term. Bulls' next upside objective is pushing and closing prices above solid technical resistance at 360.00 cents. The next downside price objective for the bears is closing prices below solid technical support at 330.00 cents. First resistance is seen at yesterday's high of 350.45 cents and then at 352.50 cents. First support is seen at yesterday's low of 345.20 cents and then at 343.05 cents.

Wyckoff's Market Rating: 7.0.

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About the author


Jim Wyckoff has been involved with the stock, financial and futures markets for more than 20 years.  He was born and raised in Iowa, where he still resides.

Wyckoff became a financial journalist with Futures World News for many years, cutting his teeth as a reporter on the futures trading floors in Chicago and New York, where he covered every futures market traded in the United States at one time or another.

Not long after he began his career in financial journalism, he began studying technical analysis. By studying chart patterns and other technical indicators, he realized this approach to analyzing and trading markets could level the playing field between “professional insiders” in the markets and individual traders.

His extensive studies of technical analysis and knowledge of markets led to several positions, including chief technical analyst at several well-known companies.  He says his mission is not just to generate profits for traders but to also provide them with educational and insightful information because, in the fascinating business of trading, one never stops learning.

Wyckoff received a Bachelor of Science degree at Iowa State University, graduating in 1984 with a major in journalism and a minor in economics. He and his wife have two children, a son in high school and a daughter in college.

When he’s not analyzing markets and educating traders, Wyckoff says he loves adventures, from driving a Jeep across the highest mountain pass in the continental United States to extreme winter camping in the Boundary Waters to hiking in the jungles of South America.

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