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Todays Outlook for AUD/USD and USD/CAD


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Taken from www.charmercharts.com

AUD/USD:

Aussie slightly oversold in the short term...so we may well see a small bounce early in the session. However..med term technical indicators have turned negative and therefore we ook for any bounce to be sold into.

1.0790/95 remains at present good resistance and we would view any challenge on this area as a place to re-sell. We would keep stops then above 1.0840.

1.0650 is looking the area where we should start to see a little profit taking. However as stated the med term charts have turned negative and therefore we would still advocate either selling into strength or selling a break below 1.0650. We lose this support and 1.0580 which is the first med term fib level will be the place where sellers would drive us
down to.

USD/CAD:

Canada is looking weaker now and we can see this coming lower for 0.9885 quite quickly.This area is the med term 0.618 fib level and as such it is liable to offer some respite from the recent downward move.

We are beginning to be oversold on the med term charts and this may also help to buoy prices in the not too distant future.. We also have the 55 weekly M/A coming in at .9910 so between these 2 prices is where we would like to see the market base..

We would look for a move back towards 1.0040 to 1.0075. Here we would look to cover all long positions. We would attempt small shorts, but as the market is beginning to turn positive profits should be taken on any shorts quite quickly as we would expect further strength to follow after a small correction.

Below 0.9830 and we would re-think our bullish scenario.

 



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About the author


Carol Harmer has over 30 years experience of analysing and trading the world’s markets and is undoubtedly one of the most respected technical analysts in the world today. 

Her career started in the early eighties, trading futures on the floor at LIFFE where she quickly discovered Technical Analysis as a way to maximise profits. She was one of the first traders on LIFFE to discover and study this form of analysis and quickly became widely recognised as an expert in its use as well as highly profitable. 

This soon led to a position as Senior Technical Analyst for Midland Bank. 

She was later head hunted for the role of Manager of Technical Analysis for Nomura Bank and then as Head of Technical Trading at Credit Suisse. Carol is also one of the first T/A's from a bank to join the  STA (The Society of Technical Analysts) in the mid 80's and has trained and worked with some of the UK’s leading technical analysts.

In 1996 Carol launched 'Charmer Charts' to train independent traders in technical analysis and became the first person to provide daily forecasts for the established traders on the LIFFE floor.

She returned to the floor, trading her own account, advising traders throughout the day and continued her appearances on Bloomberg, CNBC and Reuters financial TV where she provided her valued, expert opinion on the direction of financial markets.

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